This is mostly subjective, and I obviously won't trade. However: here are a few things I expected/didn't expect.

What I expected from Trump's mandate:

• A deterioration of the democratic system.

• Policies that increase wealth and income inequality

• An increase or at least no decrease of the US government's deficit (relative to GDP)

• Negative impact on global opinions about the US

• Some internal chaos and corruption

• fascist like policies

What I didn't expect:

• A complete breakdown of the separation of powers.

• Unfair 2028 elections

• Trump running for a third term

• A large amount of censorship of all mainstream media

• A US debt default

• explicitly fascist policies

This list isn't 100% of what I'll take into account but it gives you an idea. You can obviously try to convince me of one side or the other in the comments. I am relatively left leaning and don't live in the US.

If I for any reason have failed to resolve this market 2 weeks after it has closed, please ask mods to NA it.