Will Trump declare a national emergency on immigration before February 2025?
Basic
14
π•Š58
Feb 1
64%
chance

Donald Trump affirmed on Truth Social that he will "declare a national emergency and will use military assets to reverse the Biden invasion through a mass deportation program."

Will the declaration of the national emergency happen before midnight, Eastern Time, on January 31, 2025? The national emergency should clearly be related to the border or immigration. If it is unclear this market will resolve if at least 3 of (Politico, the New York Times, ABC News, Bloomberg, the Washington Post, and Axios) report that the emergency is about the border or immigration. If Donald Trump is not president before the market's resolution, this will still resolve regardless of who declares the emergency.

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sweepified!

It'll happen at the State of the Union.

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