Which states will be won by the Democratic Presidential candidate in 2024?
Which states will be won by the Democratic Presidential candidate in 2024?
2
1.4kṀ67kresolved Oct 10
Resolved
N/AAlaska
Resolved
N/AArizona
Resolved
N/ADistrict of Columbia
Resolved
N/AWyoming
Resolved
N/AWisconsin
Resolved
N/AWest Virginia
Resolved
N/AWashington
Resolved
N/AVirginia
Resolved
N/AVermont
Resolved
N/AUtah
Resolved
N/ATexas
Resolved
N/ATennessee
Resolved
N/ASouth Dakota
Resolved
N/ASouth Carolina
Resolved
N/ARhode Island
Resolved
N/APennsylvania
Resolved
N/AOregon
Resolved
N/AOklahoma
Resolved
N/AOhio
Resolved
N/ANorth Dakota
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@Gabrielle shouldn't this be non-predictive till they fully fix it? Conflux and i shouldn't have these profits for leagues.
@JonathanRay It was a bug, it wasn't intended to manipulate league profits. The admins are going to fix it so that Conflux didn't profit from it.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
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