How many government employees will Trump and Elon cut in 2025? [Kalshi]
17
1kṀ48862026
175,411 people
expected1D
1W
1M
ALL
94%
Above 50,000
90%
Above 100,000
58%
Above 250,000
12%
Above 500,000
6%
Above 1,000,000
Resolves identically to https://kalshi.com/markets/kxfedemployees/federal-government-employee-count.
Compares the count of federal employees no longer working, relative to the January 2025 employee count. Outcome verified from FRED.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will Trump & Elon cut >250,000 government employees in 2025?
58% chance
Will Trump and Elon cut the Federal Budget by more than $1 Trillion/yr by the end of 2025?
5% chance
How many entire government agencies will be eliminated by within one year of Trump taking office?
If Trump wins the 2024 election, how many government employees will he fire using Schedule F by the end of his term?
Federal government employment decreases by >500,000 before January 2026
12% chance
Schedule F: if Trump is elected, will he appoint more than 10,000 people in 2025?
45% chance
Elon out of Trump administration before July?
53% chance
If Trump wins the election, will he appoint Elon Musk to a federal government position by the end of 2025?
25% chance
Will the US government crush OpenAI while Elon Musk is a government employee, in 2025?
7% chance
Which companies will announce layoffs in 2025? [ADD RESPONSES]