Will Manifold still be horribly glitchy by 2025?

190Ṁ268

resolved Feb 11

Resolved as

50%

ALL

Manifold has extremely buggy code.

Random app crashes
Glitches
Profile screen warps
Missing links
Profit graphs not updating

This will resolve Yes if manifold is still very glitchy by 2025.

Will resolve No if significant changes have been made to improve the user experience, and there are significantly fewer bugs.

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Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?

81% chance

At the end of 2025, will Manifold think things have changed for the worse for us as a society?

88% chance

Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?

72% chance

Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)

49% chance

Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?

67% chance

Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?

50% chance

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

71% chance

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?

67% chance

Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?

28% chance

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?

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I’m leaning yes on this but have been a lot less active, so would appreciate opinions

@GabeGarboden Resolved 50%, as I believe there's argument on both sides

There may be significant accounting in technical debt.

TheBayesian boughtṀ10NO

@TheBayesian Hey I worded it wrong I think you bet the wrong way I’ll send you $10

@GabeGarboden I think you inferred my beliefs wrong I'll send you $10

predictedNO

I'm delusional and I think we can fix her

predictedNO

@TheBayesian oh wait you were right hahaha sorry gabe

predictedNO

@TheBayesian wait no you weren't. sorry

@TheBayesian Now I’m confused too haha

predictedNO

@GabeGarboden > Will resolve No if significant changes have been made to improve the user experience, and there are significantly fewer bugs.
I believe there will be way fewer bugs and a better user experience!

@TheBayesian The first time the description contradicted the title with a double negative. Now it aligns correctly. I need some sleep

predictedNO

@GabeGarboden same bro same

predictedNO

@TheBayesian oh so you were in fact right. but keep the mana you will find better use for it than I

People are also trading

Will Manifold still be functioning by 2030?

81% chance

At the end of 2025, will Manifold think things have changed for the worse for us as a society?

88% chance

Will I still be using Manifold by September 2025?

72% chance

Will Manifold still be around in 2035? (resolves N/A at the end of 2026)

49% chance

Will Manifold be subject to a DDoS attack before the end of 2025?

67% chance

Will Manifold "be around" in 20 years?

50% chance

Will Manifold have automated resolutions before 2027?

71% chance

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2040?

67% chance

Will Manifold go bankrupt before 2030?

28% chance

Will Manifold be acquired by end of 2030?

59% chance

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