Human dies on Mars by 2050
11
44
Ṁ235Ṁ230
2050
41%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves Yes if a human dies on the surface of Mars before 2050. Must be someone who has been on Mars for at least 24 hours, so not someone who died on impact. Also, not launch related, as in leaving to orbit/back to Earth.
Resolves No if this doesn’t happen by 2050
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
First person to die on Mars will be a man
54% chance
Will there be a crewed mission to Mars before 2055?
66% chance
Will there be >100 humans living on Mars in 2050?
36% chance
Will there be at least 100 people on mars by 2050?
44% chance
Will someone return from Mars before 2050
41% chance
A descendant of Elon Musk reaches Mars by end of 2040
24% chance
Will a human intentionally kill another human in space by 2050?
44% chance
A family member of Elon Musk reaches Mars by end of 2040
22% chance
Human dies on The Moon by 2050
50% chance
At least 100 humans die in space through 2034
8% chance