Another twist in the write-in campaign is the campaign to protest vote by writing in ceasefire instead - how many votes will it get?

@jack Would this even count for this market if it worked?

@Joshua Ceasfire isn't a person or eligible candidate, so it shouldn't imo

@jack Yeah agreed

Who will win the SC GOP primary? https://manifold.markets/FakeMoney/who-will-win-the-gop-south-carolina?r=RmFrZU1vbmV5

Arb

Biden at 67% given that is not on the ballot?

@marketwise local democrats have made it clear that they were expecting him to win through write-ins, which I guess is also what the DNC expects.

@NicoDelon https://www.npr.org/2023/11/01/1209838428/new-hampshire-primary-democrats-write-in-biden

@NicoDelon I’m not so sure now https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/rcna125161