Will federal Democrats be stronger after the 2024 elections?
12
48
แน299แน440
Dec 2
32%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Resolves YES if Democrats keep the presidency AND percentage_of_senate_are_Democrats + percentage_of_house_are_Democrats is higher after the 2024 elections than before. Independents who caucus with the Democrats will be considered Democrats.
Resolves NO if Democrats lose the presidency.
Resolves NO if percentage_of_senate_are_Democrats + percentage_of_house_are_Democrats is the same or lower after the 2024 election as before.
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