Resolves YES if President Biden attends the Queen's funeral and Kamala Harris does not.
Resolves YES if Kamala Harris attends the Queen's funeral and Joe Biden does not.
Resolves NO if neither attend the Queen's funeral.
Resolves NO if both attend the Queen's funeral.
I felt like this was a good opportunity to give a fresh new puzzle to anyone trying to do market arbitrage.
Related markets:
https://manifold.markets/BTEF2P/will-joe-biden-attend-the-queens-fu
https://manifold.markets/BTEF2P/will-kamala-harris-attend-the-queen
I don't expect this market to have any subjectivity involved in its resolution, so I may elect to participate in it.
Related questions
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https://www.cnn.com/2022/09/11/politics/joe-biden-queen-elizabeth-funeral/index.html
Looks like Kamala may not even be invited
@ManifoldMarkets Since they can't travel together the President and Vice President rarely go anywhere overseas together. Biden should be going, especially with a new Prime Minister that he probably doesn't have a personal relationship with yet. He might even get to give a eulogy since he knew Elizabeth for so long. I wouldn't underestimate the potential positive impact this might have on Biden's approval rating since Americans are obsessed with the descendants of our former oppressors.