Will all living current and past presidents attend Joe Biden's funeral?
Will all living current and past presidents attend Joe Biden's funeral?
10
1kṀ12652035
69%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market resolves 'Yes' only for those who attend the funeral ceremony. Events held earlier, like the tribute at the Capitol, are not included since they are not the 'funeral' itself.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
People are also trading
What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
Related questions
Will all living US presidents attend Joe Biden's funeral?
67% chance
Will all living US presidents attend Barack Obama's funeral?
75% chance
Will all living US presidents attend Donald Trump's funeral?
63% chance
Will all living democratic presidents attend Donald Trump's state funeral?
64% chance
How many United States ex-Presidents will attend Joe Biden’s funeral
Will Obama attend Trump's funeral?
80% chance
Will either Donald Trump or Joe Biden attend the other's funeral?
88% chance
Will there be at least 5 living ex-POTUSes at any point before 2045?
71% chance
Will Trevor Levin of Harvard bet on a Jimmy Carter market?
10% chance
How many living presidents will there be when Joe Biden dies? 👨🏻🦳🇺🇸💀