Will "Will [Musk] pay Donald Trump in bitcoin for [...] UFO intel to train his AI to fight [Zuck]?" be the next big hit?
11
210į¹€1204
resolved Jan 3
Resolved
NO

Resolves yes if the linked market recieves 500 or more traders before resolution (inflation adjusted based on the total number of traders on the site, current number is 42389).

Elon musk
Musk-Zuck MMA Fight
Silicon Scuffle
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predictedYES

Shit. Iā€™m hearing reports he paid him in etherium.

@KevinLobLaw That's off the chain, man

Linear regression suggests it'll hit ~1500

predictedYES

@Frogswap In hindsight, the intel sought should have been related to the "speakers race" and we'd all be swimming in Mana right now.

@KevinLobLaw Hindsight? We've still got more than two months to go! I'm expecting the rumor around Thanksgiving and hard proof on Christmas, which gives us about a month for the trading frenzy to go through.

This is on target to be the most popular market on Manifold if my research is right.

I'm not totally sure I'm allowed to do this, we're not supposed to incentivize trades or something, right? I'll adjust the criteria if that's the case

The current number of users on the site is 42389.

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