A government trifecta = One party controlling the US presidency, senate, and house.
Independents are grouped in with whichever party they caucus with.
In the event of controversy over if a certain government formation constitutes a trifecta, I will resolve based on whatever this wikipedia article says, ignoring things like vandalism (I will use my own judgement to determine when it's appropriate to resolve the market): https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Divided_government_in_the_United_States
If I am no longer using this site when this market should resolve and there is controversy, resolves based on wikipedia, or if necessary trustworthyish consensus on if the government is a trifecta or not.
In the event the next trifecta is for a party not listed, or the structure of government changes significantly such to render the concept of a "trifecta" no longer applicable, resolves N/A.
I will not bet.
1,000
3.00@TimothyJohnson5c16 wouldn't that be 2025? I don't even see that as an option.
In the event the next trifecta is for a party not listed, or the structure of government changes significantly such to render the concept of a "trifecta" no longer applicable, resolves N/A.
@Eliza Yeah, that's a good point, I was assuming based on the dates that this is based on when the election takes place.
Even if the market is technically wrong for the reasons you stated, @Eliza, I think it's pretty clear what the spirit of the market is.