This market aims to predict whether Globo, the largest television network in Brazil, will produce a telenovela with a central theme of artificial intelligence (AI) before the end of 2025.

Telenovelas have been known to influence Brazilian culture and spark important conversations. For example, in the past, telenovelas have tackled themes such as social inequality ('Roque Santeiro'), environmental conservation ('O Rei do Gado'), and reproductive health ('Mulheres Apaixonadas'). A telenovela about AI could potentially raise awareness and stimulate discussions about the ethical implications and future consequences of AI in Brazilian society.

A telenovela is considered to have AI as its central theme if the main plot revolves around AI, its impact on society, or its relationship with human characters. Spin-offs, sequels, or prequels of existing telenovelas with AI as the central theme will also be considered as fulfilling this criterion.

The market resolves as "Yes" if Globo releases a telenovela with AI as the central theme before January 1, 2026, and "No" otherwise. Official announcements or press releases from Globo or reputable news sources will be used as evidence to determine market resolution.