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84% chance. This market aims to predict the timely execution of legislative and presidential elections in Ecuador following the activation of a constitutional mechanism known as "muerte cruzada" ("cross-death") by President Guillermo Lasso. The "muerte cruzada" mechanism, introduced into the Ecuadorian Constitution in 2008 under Rafael Correa's government, allows the President to dissolve the National Assembly under specific conditions. Once this mechanism is activated, the National Electoral Council has seven days to call new legislative and presidential elections, which must be held within a maximum of 90 days from the call. Lasso can govern by decree in the interim, provided he has approval from the Constitutional Court. This declaration came amid a political trial against Lasso for accusations of misappropriation of public funds, which he denies. It's the first application of "muerte cruzada" since its introduction. The decision has caused controversy, with accusations of it being unconstitutional and critiques from indigenous organizations and former President Correa. **Resolution Criteria:** 1. The market will resolve to YES if new legislative and presidential elections in Ecuador are held within 90 days of the "muerte cruzada" declaration, as reported by reliable news sources. 2. The market will resolve to NO if the elections are not held within the specified timeframe. **Disclaimer:** The political situation in Ecuador is complex and can change rapidly. The resolution of this market depends on the unfolding of unpredictable events. Participants should keep abreast of the situation through reliable news sources.