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MANIFOLD
Will a clear 4K video of a UAP be released to the public by the end of 2023?
59
Ṁ1.1kṀ4k
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO

A Twitter user named Dr.Disclosure89 has claimed with 100% certainty that a clear 4K video of a UAP will be released to the public by the end of 2023. This market is to predict whether such a video will indeed be released.

Source: [Dr.Disclosure89's Tweet](https://twitter.com/Docneuroeo/status/1680758046186774529)

Resolution criteria: The market will resolve to 'Yes' if a clear 4K video of a UAP is publicly released by the end of 2023. The video must be widely recognized and reported on by at least two major news outlets.

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predictedNO

If it’s identified as an alien craft is it still a UAP?

@Ansel yes, it would.

predictedNO

@FranklinBaldo Ok - What does the “unidentified” in UAP actually mean then? It’s a bit slippery if some forms of “identification” don’t qualify

@Ansel unidentified anomalous phenomenon (UAP)

Aliens would still be anomalous.

Does it still have to be unidentified despite the new evidence in the video? Eg there is a UAP that remains unknown with existing evidence, but on release of 4k video of it it emerges that it is a commercial aircraft.

And whose definition of UAP is it? Does it need to be officially designated as this, eg by AARO or another NASA team? Or is it just not identifiable by any particular person.

@WXTJ "on release of 4k video of it it emerges that it is a commercial aircraft" this scenario don't qualify as a YES.
from the description: "The video must be widely recognized and reported on by at least two major news outlets."

Would you expect this market to resolve yes if someone deceptively releases a well made computer generated/modified video (that got reported on by two major new outlets)?

@RobertCousineau Major news outlets like The New York Times, The Washington Post, and others would likely conduct an initial assessment of the video's legitimacy before reporting on it.

Therefore, if the video appears to be legitimate and is reported as such by at least two major news outlets, the market could resolve as "yes."

If I take a a 4K video of some flying object that can't be clearly identified, would this market resolve yes?

@MetallicDragon no. The uap should be clear in the video.