Resolves to the person who wins the majority of votes for US Vice President in the Electoral College, or is selected following the contingency procedure in the Twelfth Amendment.
May resolve early if both the Associated Press projects a winner and the losing major party candidate concedes.
(In short, this is similar to https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-2024-us-presidential-e, but for the vice presidency)
1,000๐ Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | แน42,176 | |
| 2 | แน8,086 | |
| 3 | แน8,079 | |
| 4 | แน2,390 | |
| 5 | แน2,350 |
@Yiddishe_Kupp1980 Thanks for the reminder, I haven't been on Manifold much lately and forgot about this one
edit: my b wrong market
Added a couple of names that were >5% on https://manifold.markets/Stralor/who-will-be-the-democratic-nominee-9d4a78f63ce1 but not listed individually here
Iโm looking for a woman in Congressโ
Tulsi,
shark teeth,
gray streak
>Creates a new account
>Purchases 100k mana costing $110
>Bets 50k mana on Michelle to 100%
>Investment becomes worthless almost instantly
>Bets remaining 50k mana on Michelle on a different market 10 mins later
>Investment becomes worthless almost instantly
>Balance depleted
>Refuses to elaborate further
Stefanik will campaign for Trump in NH https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics/elise-stefanik-to-campaign-with-trump-in-new-hampshire-amid-veepstakes-speculation/ar-AA1n9am8
Also, per Steve Bannon she in at the top of the list https://www.cnbc.com/2024/01/17/shes-a-killer-trump-eyes-rep-elise-stefanik-as-a-potential-vp-pick.html
Kamala Harris shouldn't be higher than Biden is here: https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-2024-us-presidential-e?r=Sm9zZXBoTm9vbmFu
@SemioticRivalry @JosephNoonan heck yeah I would, let's fuckin do this https://manifold.markets/Lorxus/conditional-on-joseph-robinette-bid?r=TG9yeHVz
the chances of Pence being VP in 2014 are less than him winning the nomination and being elected president. Literally.