Who will be elected vice-president in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
➕
Plus
333
Ṁ350k
resolved Nov 12
100%99.0%
JD Vance
0.3%
Kamala Harris
0.0%
Vivek Ramaswamy
0.0%
Nikki Haley
0.0%
Kari Lake
0.0%
Kristi Noem
0.0%
Ron DeSantis
0.0%
Tulsi Gabbard
0.0%
Marjorie Taylor Greene
0.0%
Tim Scott
0.0%
Tudor Dixon
0.0%
Mike Pence
0.0%
Jodi Ernst
0.0%
Sarah Huckabee Sanders
0.0%
Francis Suarez
0.0%
Kim Reynolds
0.0%
Elise Stefanik
0.0%
Nancy Mace
0.0%
Brian Kemp
0.0%
Robert James Ritchie (Kid Rock)

Resolves to the person who wins the majority of votes for US Vice President in the Electoral College, or is selected following the contingency procedure in the Twelfth Amendment.

May resolve early if both the Associated Press projects a winner and the losing major party candidate concedes.

(In short, this is similar to https://manifold.markets/jack/who-will-win-2024-us-presidential-e, but for the vice presidency)

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sold Ṁ195 NO

@Forrest resolves to JD Vance

@Yiddishe_Kupp1980 Thanks for the reminder, I haven't been on Manifold much lately and forgot about this one

bought Ṁ810 NO

What are chances that:

  • Trump fires Vance

  • Trump picks RFK

  • Trump wins

Probably small, but nonzero

bought Ṁ250 NO

As good a place as any to bet that JP Mandel will be replaced as the RVeep.

bought Ṁ25 YES

true. here too:

edit: my b wrong market

Add youngkin pls

bought Ṁ750 NO

Trump could swap out disastrous JP Mandel. Trade accordingly.

opened a Ṁ174 YES at 48% order

with who?

please include Tim Walz

I’m looking for a woman in Congress—

Tulsi,

shark teeth,

gray streak

boughtṀ50,000 YES

>Creates a new account

>Purchases 100k mana costing $110

>Bets 50k mana on Michelle to 100%

>Investment becomes worthless almost instantly

>Bets remaining 50k mana on Michelle on a different market 10 mins later

>Investment becomes worthless almost instantly

>Balance depleted

>Refuses to elaborate further

@JosephNoonan Buttigieg-Harris ‘24

@Radicalia Do you think that there is even close to a 1% chance of that happening?

@JosephNoonan It’s a joke :-)

👀

I doubt Harris is going to get kept on as VP pick.

@Lorxus Extremely unlikely for Biden to get someone else as his running mate.

@Lorxus would you like to bet on this?

what’s Mike Pence doing at 13% ?? 👀

the chances of Pence being VP in 2014 are less than him winning the nomination and being elected president. Literally.

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