Will russia invade Sumy oblast before 1st of July 2024
3
15
100
Jul 1
15%
chance

Resolve Yes if the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) AND Suriyak's map (https://twitter.com/Suriyakmaps/status/1718315232844554544) list at least 2 municipalities in Sumy oblast to be under Russian control (A municipality is considered under russian control when the townhall is marked to be under assessed russian control by the ISW and when the municipality is marked by a red dot in Suriyak's map)

Get Ṁ600 play money

More related questions