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Will russia invade Sumy oblast before 1st of July 2024
6
Ṁ100Ṁ865
resolved Jul 31
Resolved
NO

Resolve Yes if the ISW map (https://storymaps.arcgis.com/stories/36a7f6a6f5a9448496de641cf64bd375) AND Suriyak's map (https://twitter.com/Suriyakmaps/status/1718315232844554544) list at least 2 municipalities in Sumy oblast to be under Russian control (A municipality is considered under russian control when the townhall is marked to be under assessed russian control by the ISW and when the municipality is marked by a red dot in Suriyak's map)

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