Will Nicola Sturgeon be charged with a fraud-related crime by 19 July 2025?
5
130Ṁ300Jul 19
15%
chance
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There is a police investigation ongoing into possible fundraising fraud in the SNP. Surgeon was arrested in June and released without charge. Will she be charged?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Branchform
(She needs to be charged with something related to the fraud case for it to count.)
Being charged on 19th July counts. UK time.
I will not bet in this market just in case there ends up being a judgement call, but I expect it'll be clear cut.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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