Will Nicola Sturgeon be charged with a fraud-related crime by 19 July 2025?
Basic
5
Ṁ3002025
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
There is a police investigation ongoing into possible fundraising fraud in the SNP. Surgeon was arrested in June and released without charge. Will she be charged?
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Operation_Branchform
(She needs to be charged with something related to the fraud case for it to count.)
Being charged on 19th July counts. UK time.
I will not bet in this market just in case there ends up being a judgement call, but I expect it'll be clear cut.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Related questions
Related questions
Will Humza Yousaf be First Minister of Scotland at the end of 2024?
2% chance
Will JK Rowling be charged under The Hate Crime and Public Order (Scotland) Act 2021 by the end of 2026?
9% chance
Will there be a Scottish Parliament election by the end of 2025?
24% chance
Will a Hylion executive be convicted of fraud before 2030?
33% chance
Will anyone be charged with a criminal offence in connection with gambling on the timing of the UK General Election?
16% chance
Will Scott Morrison (Former Australian PM) be charged with a crime by 2030
23% chance
Will there be a Scottish independence referendum before 2029 if the Gender Recognition Reform (Scotland) Bill doesn't receive Royal Assent?
33% chance
Who will be First Minister of Scotland on July 1st 2026?
Will Folasade Ayoola (2022 Forbes Under 30) be charged with a serious crime before 2030?
20% chance
Will Stacey Abrams (American politician) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
9% chance