In the past month, two top-20 streak holders lost their streak. Who will be next to go?
If somebody misses a day and uses a "streak forgiveness" that doesn't count. Their streak has to completely reset.
In the unlikely event that somebody loses their streak due to a bug, and then gets it reinstated, that doesn't count either. (If I have already resolved and then somebody gets their streak reinstated, I'll ask mods if they can un-resolve for me.)
I will bet in this market, including on myself. I don't promise not to manipulate the market by deliberately losing my streak...
Close date extends indefinitely until somebody loses their streak.
If I spelt somebody's name wrong, I apologise. Please check if you're not sure who somebody is, and if I'll make a mistake I'll edit. (I think I can do that...)
Update 2025-16-01 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Market closes and resolves once one of the top 20 streak holders loses their streak.
The "next" to lose is determined at the time of market creation, not based on any indefinitely rolling criteria.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ167 | |
| 2 | Ṁ25 |
@Primer There used to be a nice script you could run that extracted everybody's streaks from the API but it's stopped working for me. You can manually look up individual users via the API like this: https://api.manifold.markets/v0/user/Primer
Ctrl+F for "streak"
@Fion because you ask who is the next. I am not sure why would anyone bet NO. Everyone will eventually lose their streaks
@FranklinBaldo the market closes and resolves once one of us loses their streak. It's "next" at the time of market creation, not some indefinitely rolling "next"
@Fion even so, everyone will eventually be the next. Meaning: if I bet YES now it is good for all next rounds, so why bet NO?