Will there be a supernova visible by the naked eyed in 2024?
10
81
1k
2025
3%
chance

In history there have been many times a supernova has been visible by the naked eye, even during the day. However this hasn't happened since 1987, and before that in 1604

For this market to resolve as "yes" there has to be a supernova that is visible without the use of any instruments by people with normal vision, ideally during the day but if it's only visible at night it will be enough

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Isn't the base rate for this like 1 every 200-300 years?

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