Appointment as Nato general secretary likely needs unanimous support from all member states. Hungary has put out a statement that they don't endorse Rutte. But Rutte is still 80-90% likely to be elected, till when will Hungary block the appointment?
Resolves yes on all the options that happen before Hungary either puts out a public statement that they support Rutte as Nato general secretary or Rutte gets appointed general secretary.
If Rutte is conclusively not appointed Nato general secretary then all options resolve Yes.
1,000
3.00Orbán says yes: https://x.com/PM_ViktorOrban/status/1803052780438880558
@BrunoParga There totally isn't, if someone else becomes general secretary then all the options resolve YES. But Rutte is trading at about 80-90% to become general secretary, which is why I think the question is interesting.