What will happen before a Dutch coalition forms?
Mini
15
3.3k
Dec 31
99%
Formation longer than Van Agt-1 1977 (June 18th)
89%
Summer Solstice (June 20th)
35%
Formation longer than Rutte 3 (July 5th)
15%
Jimmy Carter dies
14%
Republic/Dem nominees chosen
10%
Bitcoin reaches 80k
9%
Formation longer than Rutte 4 (September 17th)
7%
American 2024 presidential election vote held
7%
Halloween 2024
3%
Christmas 2024
Resolved
YES
End of April
Resolved
YES
Formation takes longer than Den Uyl 1972 formation (May 4th)
Resolved
YES
Tortured Poets department releases

Dutch cabinet formations have been going on for a very long time. It's become a point of satire, see: https://hoegaatiemetdeformatie.nl/
How long will it take before a coalition forms?

Formation date counts as the day they get sworn in and all get photographed together.

If any option occurs, and a cabinet has not been formed, that option will resolve YES. Options will keep resolving YES if new elections are called without a coalition forming. Closing date may extend if formation is not in 2024.

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bought Ṁ15 Formation longer tha... YES

Current striving towards date is the swearing in end of june/early july.

bought Ṁ106 Tortured Poets depar... YES

Parties to choose candidate prime minister today.