What will happen before a Dutch coalition forms?
5
22
Ṁ173Ṁ485
Dec 31
1D
1W
1M
ALL
86%
End of April
85%
Formation takes longer than Den Uyl 1972 formation (May 4th)
66%
Formation longer than Van Agt-1 1977 (June 18th)
50%
Formation longer than Rutte 3 (July 5th)
50%
Formation longer than Rutte 4 (September 17th)
50%
Summer Solstice (June 20th)
50%
Tortured Poets department releases
50%
Republic/Dem nominees chosen
50%
American 2024 presidential election vote held
50%
Halloween 2024
50%
Bitcoin reaches 80k
50%
Jimmy Carter dies
34%
Christmas 2024
Dutch cabinet formations have been going on for a very long time. It's become a point of satire, see: https://hoegaatiemetdeformatie.nl/
How long will it take before a coalition forms?
Formation date counts as the day they get sworn in and all get photographed together.
If any option occurs, and a cabinet has not been formed, that option will resolve YES. Options will keep resolving YES if new elections are called without a coalition forming. Closing date may extend if formation is not in 2024.
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