MANIFOLD
LOL: Will a western team beat an eastern team in a BO5 in 2023?
19
Ṁ370Ṁ58k
resolved Nov 3
Resolved
NO

Wil a team from a 'western' region, including LEC, LCS or CBLOL or LLA beat any team from the LCK or LPL in a best of 5?

Must be Riot officially streamed match. So not a scrim, but a tournament win. Will resolve when there are no more international tournaments of the year, that will be worlds or rift rivals. As this is an objective resolution market, I may trade in it.

Likely places for this to happen are MSI or Worlds. But the odds are looking very grim at the moment.

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Why do eastern teams not include VCS, PCS, LJL ???

predictedNO

@BanhMiChuoi They are wildcards

predictedNO

@BanhMiChuoi To specify more, 'can an EU/NA team beat a VCS/PCS/LJL team' and 'can an EU/NA team beat a KR/CH team' are entirely different questions with very different odds.

I'm interested in the EU/NA vs KR/CH odds, and how far the gap is between the regions, I'm not interested in if the EU/NA teams will get to play a BO5 against VCS/PCS/LJL teams, because IF they do, they'll have good odds.

predictedNO

@Jakob but they are eastern no

predictedNO

@Fedor yeah i'm just wondering because western teams you do include cblol and lla, but eastern teams don't include vcs, ljl and pcs.

It's a no anyway because there are only lpl and lck teams left in worlds.

predictedNO

@BanhMiChuoi Could have excluded the cblol and lla from the winning side, but that might not even shift down the percentage 1% during the year, because #1st seed cblol vs 4th seed LPL, who are you gambling on?

And yeah, I don't think there's any tournaments left this year, like some kind of all stars or something, so I think this market can resolve NO.

predictedNO

@Fedor seed 1 cblol should have less than 1% win chance on b05 with seed 4 lpl

predictedNO

@Fedor if there are no more you can pick up the rest of the liquidity and resolve

@BanhMiChuoi Yeah, checked it and no other international riot tournaments besides worlds.

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