(personal) Will @firstuserhere read 50+ books by the end of 2023?
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resolved Dec 28
Resolved
NO

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Disclaimer: I am incentivized to make this resolve YES.

Here is the list of all the books read so far.

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predicted NO

I've read 4 books already in the new year, the momentum this market helped me gain was great. Don't regret it.

predicted NO

Shoulda read animorphs, you cAn get though sixty something of those in a few weeks

Lost 35k mana, but got motivated to start reading a lot again after ~6 months of hardly any reading from late 2022-early 2023. Absolutely worth it.

predicted YES

@firstuserhere that's awesome dude! Throughout the year when comments from this would pop up, it also helped me keep up my reading if I happened to be slacking!

predicted NO

I won 84 mana (which is not helping my plan of training the bots to bet against me on personal goals) but this market also inspired me to read again. When you said you were reading Kafka on the Shore it motivated me to pick it back up and I quite enjoyed it. I read 3 books this month, which is an infinity percent increase compared to possible multiple years.

Will @firstuserhere read 50+ books in 2024? - Market for the next year - I will not be participating in the market as a trader.

predicted YES

how current is the list now?

also, with the added context I can say for sure Libby is in your country, if you're still looking for an approachable way to get audiobooks. they're a great option for, say, a nice long walk?

although if 40 is still the number it's pretty ambitious to hit 50 by EOY

predicted YES

@shankypanky The list was more or less current. I flipped the toggle for the 2 books I did finish that weren't being counted before (i.e. contribution factor 0 -> non-zero). That adds up to 41.36 books, likely going to end the year with 44 max.

This market will resolve to NO. I can do an early resolve if people want to get their mana out.

predicted NO

@firstuserhere I don't mind either way. On principle I prefer time-based markets not resolving early but it's not a strong preference if you're confident in the result.

predicted NO

@firstuserhere yes please

predicted YES

What I talk about when I talk about running, and Kafka on the Shore have me wanting to read more Murakami, so here we go

@firstuserhere Murakami is great. I highly recommend 1Q84 (although it's pretty long so not the best for maxing your chances in this market).

predicted YES

@Strigoides One of the biggesst reasons this challenge didn't happen is - I basically read no books for the first 4-5 months of the year!

Considering that, 45+ books in 7-8 months comes to (5.65 to 6.42) books a month, which honestly is not that bad.

predicted YES

oh nice

men without women is a collection of short stories you might like

a wild sheep chase and dance dance dance have basically all of the classic elements of his writing imo

check out 1Q84 (but not this year pls, it's long)

predicted NO

@firstuserhere It's been a great effort! I've only read 25 and I've been going at a pretty steady pace for the whole year.

predicted YES

What's the go to place to download audiobooks for free? Audible kinda sucks with 1 credit a month and how little royalty they pay to the authors. I've been downloading from anyaudiobook dot com and using a music player in my phone to listen. (Yes yes piracy etc, we can discuss that elsewhere)

predicted YES

@firstuserhere If you’ve got a library card you can use apps like Libby on iOS to try audiobooks that your library makes available. And it’s not even piracy!

predicted YES

I second the Libby suggestion if you're in the US - I'm not certain about coverage outside of that. all you need is a library card and you can check out audiobooks (it's on Android too of course)

predicted YES

@Noit I'm not in the US 😅

predicted YES

@firstuserhere Spotify has audiobooks if you’re a premium subscriber

predicted YES

@firstuserhere It works for me in the UK, I think it’s a library-specific thing rather than a regional thing?

predicted YES

@Noit Did not know that! i'll try

librivox exists, but it probably doesn't have the books you want lol

predicted NO

What's the outlook for December? More or less time for reading compared to previous months?

predicted YES

@Strigoides roughly the same, but listening a lot more. Today I started Kafka on the shore!

predicted YES

@firstuserhere on the last few pages of Kafka on the shore :')

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