[image]Sufmi Dasco said that no reshuffle is planned soon

Sufmi Dasco said that no reshuffle is planned soon

If we're thinking about the base rates, then since 1997-01-01, ~5% of the time we have >5% weekly drop in ^JKSE price.

Dates of 5%+ weekly drops:
2019-05-17 - -6.16%
2020-02-27 - -6.85%
2020-02-28 - -7.30%
2020-03-02 - -7.68%
2020-03-10 - -5.40%
2020-03-11 - -8.78%
2020-03-12 - -13.17%
2020-03-13 - -10.75%
2020-03-16 - -8.69%
2020-03-17 - -14.64%
2020-03-18 - -15.98%
2020-03-19 - -16.14%
2020-03-20 - -14.52%
2020-03-23 - -14.95%
2020-03-24 - -11.65%
2020-06-15 - -5.01%
2020-09-10 - -7.37%
2021-01-28 - -6.77%
2021-01-29 - -7.05%
2022-05-10 - -5.49%
2022-05-11 - -5.75%
2022-05-12 - -8.29%
2022-05-13 - -8.73%
2022-07-04 - -5.37%
2024-12-19 - -5.64%
2025-02-07 - -5.16%
2025-02-10 - -5.43%
2025-02-11 - -7.65%
2025-02-12 - -5.39%

Another useful info to gather is to find similar cases of widely-trusted ministers of finance being sacked/resigning in other countries and see how the market responded to their ousting.

 wrong market! should've been posted here 

IDX Composite drops more than 5% within 7 days conditional on Sri Mulyani's departure

Recent speculation about Sri Mulyani Indrawati's future as Indonesia's Minister of Finance has intensified following a Ramadan dinner with President Prabowo on March 12, 2025.

This market resolves YES if by April 15, 2025:

The market resolves NO if Sri Mulyani is still actively serving as Indonesia's Minister of Finance on April 15, 2025. Temporary leave or medical absence where she retains the official title will not count as resignation or replacement.

#	Name	Total profit
1		Ṁ444
2		Ṁ23
3		Ṁ22
4		Ṁ11

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