Reddest state to elect a Democratic senator in 2026?
4
Ṁ375Ṁ109Jan 3
22%
Texas
19%
Kansas
13%
South Carolina
9%
North Carolina
7%
Mississippi
4%
Alaska
3%
Iowa
3%
Ohio
4%
Louisiana
3%
Georgia
3%
Montana
3%
Florida
3%
Michigan
3%
New Hampshire
3%
Minnesota
Mirrors this Kalshi market: https://kalshi.com/markets/kxreddestdsen/reddest-state-to-elect-a-democratic-senator/kxreddestdsen-27jan03
Resolves according to Kalshi's final result, using Kalshi's rules for this market.
Kalshi's rules: If Texas is the state with the highest 2024 Trump-minus-Harris presidential margin among states where a Democratic candidate wins a 2026 U.S. Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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