This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?

South Sudan has a history of political instability, with multiple attempted coups since its independence in 2011. BMI analysts think South Sudan is the most likely country in Africa to experience a successful coup, followed by the Central African Republic, according to the Economist.