This market is part of the Humans v Bots Battle 2024, where AI forecasters will duke it out on the most important world questions of 2024. Can you beat the bots and snag part of the 250,000 Mana (~$2.5k) prize?
South Sudan has a history of political instability, with multiple attempted coups since its independence in 2011. BMI analysts think South Sudan is the most likely country in Africa to experience a successful coup, followed by the Central African Republic, according to the Economist.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ401 | |
| 2 | Ṁ220 | |
| 3 | Ṁ197 | |
| 4 | Ṁ54 | |
| 5 | Ṁ50 |
People are also trading
South Sudan has a history of political instability, with multiple coups and attempted coups since its independence in 2011.
This sounds weird. If you're distinguishing (successful) coups from attempted coups, there have been no coups at all – President Salva Kiir Mayardit has been in power since well before independence, and there hasn't been an election or a proper institutionality that he could break by means of a self-coup.