Will SCOTUS rule for the CFPB in CFPB v. Community Financial Services Assoc before July 31, 2024?
Supreme CourtSCOTUS
Basic
18
Ṁ9.4k
resolved Jun 24
Resolved
YES

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The CFPB is the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. A ruling in favor of the CFPB would be a significant victory for consumer protection and could have a lasting impact on the financial services industry, but may speak more broadly to congressional oversight and the independence of such organizations.

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@mods The can resolve YES; the court ruled in favor of the CFPB on May 16.

Decision: https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-448_o7jp.pdf

Scotusblog summary: https://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/consumer-financial-protection-bureau-v-community-financial-services-association-of-america-limited/

Ballotpedia summary: https://ballotpedia.org/Consumer_Financial_Protection_Bureau_v._Community_Financial_Services_Association_of_America,_Limited

bought Ṁ90 YES

Can resolve. https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/23pdf/22-448_o7jp.pdf

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 60%, market is 53%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 55%, market is 53%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 55%, market is 53%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 67%, market is 52%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 65%, market is 52%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 52%.

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Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 25%, market is 52%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 57.99999999999999%, market is 52%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 52%.

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...accidental comment...

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...accidental comment...

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Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 45%, market is 52%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 60%, market is 52%.

🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 56.00000000000001%, market is 52%.

65%

70%

predicted YES

90%

45%. While the Supreme Court has a conservative majority, the complex legal issues and potential consequences of a ruling against the CFPB make it difficult to predict the outcome with certainty.

Background: https://www.scotusblog.com/case-files/cases/consumer-financial-protection-bureau-v-community-financial-services-association-of-america-limited/

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