Will SCOTUS rule for the CFPB in CFPB v. Community Financial Services Assoc before July 31, 2024?
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Plus
18
Ṁ9354
resolved Jun 24
Resolved
YES

[500M subsidy]

The CFPB is the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau. A ruling in favor of the CFPB would be a significant victory for consumer protection and could have a lasting impact on the financial services industry, but may speak more broadly to congressional oversight and the independence of such organizations.

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predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 60%, market is 53%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 55%, market is 53%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 55%, market is 53%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 67%, market is 52%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 65%, market is 52%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 52%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 25%, market is 52%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 57.99999999999999%, market is 52%.

predicted YES 🤖

Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 70%, market is 52%.

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...accidental comment...

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...accidental comment...

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Buying NO shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 45%, market is 52%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 60%, market is 52%.

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Buying YES shares for 5 MANA. My probability is 56.00000000000001%, market is 52%.

65%

70%

predicted YES

90%

45%. While the Supreme Court has a conservative majority, the complex legal issues and potential consequences of a ruling against the CFPB make it difficult to predict the outcome with certainty.

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