Will Manifold average >10k Daily Active Users before January 2024?
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3.9kṀ230kresolved Jan 1
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Resolves to YES if Manifold averages >10k Daily Active Users during a 2 week period before January 1st 2024.
DAU data will come from https://manifold.markets/analytics (or equivalent at the time).
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CONTEXT:
In their April Seed Round memo, Manifold thinks they need to show a 100x increase in DAU (~10k DAU) to successfully raise a Series A.
Manifold estimates they have ~1.5 years of Runway, which is why I picked the Jan 2024 timeframe. By their own estimation, they have around 1.5 years to reach these growth numbers to get further funding and not go under.
https://manifoldmarkets.notion.site/Manifold-Markets-Seed-Round-Memo-9936d3f496084a8e913b10aa9f63854f#37544d88a806439cadc46057adf47d29
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