What is the "Current Thing" today? [Tracker, resolves to Market]
18
900Ṁ1906resolved Mar 22
92%90%
The imminent arrival of 2023
6%6%
Elon Musk vs Twitter
1%1.4%
PRC vs Taiwan conflict
1.3%Other
0.0%
ANTE
0.3%
Roe v. Wade repeal
0.0%
Boris Johnson Replacement
0.0%
James Webb Telescope Pictures
0.0%
Assassination of Shinzo Abe
0.0%
Chaos in Sri Lanka
0.0%
Affirmative action (and admissions/hiring)
0.5%
TRUMP
0.0%
Bidan
0.0%
"Technically" not a recession
0.0%
Pelosi in Taiwan
This question is meant to track what the "Current Thing" that's dominating the internet (Twitter, Social Media, etc) at any given time: https://stratechery.com/2022/the-current-thing/
Examples from this year: Ukraine War, Elon Musk's twitter acquisition, $LUNA collapsing, etc.
People should vote/bet for whatever they think the "current thing" is at any given time, and sell whenever it stops being the "current thing". Ideally we'll be able to chart out what the current thing was at any given time this year.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ394 | |
| 2 | Ṁ163 | |
| 3 | Ṁ156 | |
| 4 | Ṁ119 | |
| 5 | Ṁ7 |
People are also trading
Sort by:
More and more “Bidan pls resign”
https://www.zerohedge.com/political/biden-approval-rating-hits-new-all-time-low-31-now-underwater-within-own-party
State media is increasingly dumping scorn on him; perhaps they rev this up to distance from him during midterms: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/07/15/biden-arrives-in-saudi-arabia-much-diminished-president-prince-turki.html
Keynes had a saying about markets like this:
"It is not a case of choosing those [faces] that, to the best of one's judgment, are really the prettiest, nor even those that average opinion genuinely thinks the prettiest. We have reached the third degree where we devote our intelligences to anticipating what average opinion expects the average opinion to be. And there are some, I believe, who practice the fourth, fifth and higher degrees."