What is the "Current Thing" today? [Tracker, resolves to Market]
The Current Thing•FRC's group
18
24
resolved Mar 22
92%91%
The imminent arrival of 2023
6%6%
Elon Musk vs Twitter
1%1.4%
PRC vs Taiwan conflict
0.0%
ANTE
0.3%
Roe v. Wade repeal
0.0%
Boris Johnson Replacement
0.0%
James Webb Telescope Pictures
0.0%
Assassination of Shinzo Abe
0.0%
Chaos in Sri Lanka
0.0%
Affirmative action (and admissions/hiring)
0.5%
TRUMP
0.0%
Bidan
0.0%
"Technically" not a recession
0.0%
Pelosi in Taiwan
This question is meant to track what the "Current Thing" that's dominating the internet (Twitter, Social Media, etc) at any given time: https://stratechery.com/2022/the-current-thing/ Examples from this year: Ukraine War, Elon Musk's twitter acquisition, $LUNA collapsing, etc. People should vote/bet for whatever they think the "current thing" is at any given time, and sell whenever it stops being the "current thing". Ideally we'll be able to chart out what the current thing was at any given time this year.
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@suika I found the article from that time, go read it, is this what you said?

Resolved due to inactivity

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This is such a cool idea! I wonder how we can operationalize it - a native news feed that's like "Trending" but driven by economic forces instead of algorithmic seems pretty awesome as an experiment

Hmm I don't think the chart will really work if there are >6 different current things over this time.
answered
Bidan
They put him on a bicycle to show he’s less functional than a small child then they give him Covid; Bidan pls resign and don’t run is scheduled for current thing soon
answered
Bidan
More and more “Bidan pls resign” https://www.zerohedge.com/political/biden-approval-rating-hits-new-all-time-low-31-now-underwater-within-own-party
answered
Bidan
bought Ṁ1
State media is increasingly dumping scorn on him; perhaps they rev this up to distance from him during midterms: https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/07/15/biden-arrives-in-saudi-arabia-much-diminished-president-prince-turki.html
I believe this really won't work well till CPMM are out
Keynes had a saying about markets like this: "It is not a case of choosing those [faces] that, to the best of one's judgment, are really the prettiest, nor even those that average opinion genuinely thinks the prettiest. We have reached the third degree where we devote our intelligences to anticipating what average opinion expects the average opinion to be. And there are some, I believe, who practice the fourth, fifth and higher degrees."
What will Manifold users think Manifold users will are likely to view as the next thing that the hive mind people think other hive mind people think about 🤔
When does this resolve, close date?
@MichaelWheatley It resolves to Market on Dec 31. The idea is to buy/sell throughout the year.
Will this resolve at all?
Haha sorry I re-read everything but the title

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