IF Manifold lets creators add "real money prize-pools" to Markets in 2022, what will its Monthly Active Users be in Jan 1st 2024?
Manifold Business Future
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Ṁ120
resolved Jan 10
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N/A
MAU = Monthly active users, according to https://manifold.markets/analytics (or the closest equivalent statistic available at the time, picked at my discretion) If "real money prizepools" are NOT introduced before Jan 1st 2024, the question resolves to N/A. If they are introduced, the question will resolve to the MAU in Jan 1st 2024. By "real money prizepools" I mean that: - Any Creator can pay "real money" to promote/subsidize their markets. AND - Bettors can in some way get paid from that prize pool, and withdraw the money they win to their bank account. This DOES NOT require that investors can trade with real money or withdraw their Mana - just that they can win and withdraw from the prize-pool. The point is that this could be a way for bettors to get paid for their work, and a way for creators to pay for information, without running into gambling regulation. Any variation that is in the spirit of this "counts", please ask in the comments if you're in doubt about any specific example.
Get Ṁ200 play money
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📢Resolved to N/A ; Ancient market that should have resolved N/A at end of 2022.

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