Will the Andean Bear (Tremarctos ornatus) become extinct in the current century?
Basic
8
Ṁ1442099
38%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This market will resolve YES if the Andean Bear, also known as Spectacled Bear, is extinct in 2100. It will resolve NO if it is not extinct in 2100.
Wikipedia
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Spectacled_bear
IUCN red list of threatened species
https://www.iucnredlist.org/species/22066/123792952
Please help trading this market and posting news about the species in the comments, in order to get the most accurate assessment of its extinction risk.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
According to Wikipedia: Extinction is the termination of a species by the death of its last member.
Related questions
Related questions
Will the Sun Bear (Helarctos malayanus) become extinct in the current century?
37% chance
Will the Asian Black Bear (Ursus thibetanus) become extinct in the current century?
24% chance
Will the Polar Bear (Ursus maritimus) become extinct in the current century?
48% chance
Will the Sloth Bear (Melursus ursinus) become extinct in the current century?
24% chance
Will the Giant Panda (Ailuropoda melanoleuca) become extinct in the current century?
27% chance
Will the American Black Bear (Ursus americanus) become extinct in the current century?
18% chance
Will the Tiger (Panthera tigris) become extinct in the current century?
21% chance
Will the Snow Leopard (Panthera uncia) become extinct in the current century?
49% chance
Will the Brown Bear (Ursus arctus) become extinct in the current century?
11% chance
Will the Jaguar (Panthera onca) become extinct in the current century?
34% chance