Will Elon Musk spend a night in prison / jail by EOY 2026?
Plus
32
Ṁ62462027
15%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
As reported by major news sources. If in doubt or unclear as of question close time, then as confirmed by government sources such as court records and arrest records. Question close time may be extended if unclear and records are not yet available.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000and
3.00
1,0003.00Sort by:
I'm not staying it's super likely, but it actually seems plausible after the Putin thing
@DavidFWatson Hmmm. I'm not at all convinced the Logan Act still gets enforced, though.
@DavidFWatson there might well be, this is definitely not a thing I'm an expert on. Are there better similar questions to ask?
Related questions
Related questions
Will Elon spend a night in jail by EOY 2026 if Trump loses, or not if Trump wins?
91% chance
Will the USA federal government announce charges/investigation/indictment against Elon Musk by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason by the end of 2030?
35% chance
Will Elon Musk be arrested for any reason before 2030?
29% chance
Will Elon Musk be in jail, dead, disappeared or on the run by 1st Jan 2030
26% chance
Will Elon Musk be charged with a crime in the state of Pennsylvania by the end of 2025?
31% chance
Will Elon Musk serve time in prison at any point in 2024?
1% chance
Will Elon Musk ever go to jail after being convicted of a crime?
21% chance
Elon Musk's 2024: What Will He Do Next?
Will any of Elon Musk's companies be charged with fraud by the end of 2025?
35% chance