Which senate flip is more likely? Dems take TX or OH, or Reps take GA or MI?
4
100Ṁ632026
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
12%
Dems flip TX or OH
31%
Reps flip GA or MI
50%
neither
7%
both
Inspired by this twitter poll and surrounding discussion:
Resolves based on consensus of credible reporting after the election, or certified results if we have to wait for them.
Independents will be counted as the party they have announced they will caucus with.
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