How many people died in the al-Ahli Hospital explosion (Wikipedia, 30 days)
64
2.4kṀ13kresolved Nov 18
100%94%
301-450
1.2%
0-50
1.0%
51-150
3%
151-300
0.9%
451+
Resolution will be based on the Wikipedia articles for the hospital and the explosion as of close time.
Will resolve early if there is a clear and consistent answer before close. Resolution ignores Wikipedia vandalism, as defined by my judgement.
If the article lists a range, I will take the arithmetic mean of that range. If the article lists multiple numbers with equal prominence, I will take the arithmetic mean of those numbers. If the number is being actively updated, I will do my best to take the most recent non-vandalism-number as of close time, but may end up having to exercise some judgment or take an average if it's truly a mess.
I will not trade in this market.
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