Age-based turnout numbers looked fairly different for the Dem primary, as compared to the 2021 primary:
https://www.nytimes.com/2025/06/29/nyregion/zohran-mamdani-voters-strategy.html
How will things compare in the general?
See also: https://edc.nyc/elections-and-voter-turnout
Turnout will be measured as percent of active registered voters.
Overall version: /EvanDaniel/will-turnout-for-nyc-mayoral-electi
Update 2026-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): If no age-based turnout data is released, the market will resolve N/A.
Update 2026-03-24 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Creator will wait until at least end of June for official age-based turnout results before resolving.
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@EvanDaniel https://gothamist.com/news/youth-vote-surged-in-new-york-city-was-it-a-blip-or-a-paradigm-shift Is this sufficient? Would indicate a YES resolution for all markets.
@prismatic I'll wait until at least end of June for official results. If you spot anything official before then, please tag me!
https://claude.ai/share/92930c5a-8cf1-4357-9c5c-2ed64b0e322c
@EvanDaniel yeah i just see exit polls unfortunately https://www.wsj.com/politics/elections/the-voters-who-propelled-mamdani-to-victory-e6a258b3
@EvanDaniel is last cycle is anything to go by, official results should be out by the end of the month https://www.vote.nyc/sites/default/files/pdf/election_results/2021/20211102General%20Election/00000200000Citywide%20Mayor%20Citywide%20Recap.pdf