Will turnout for NYC mayoral election in 2025 exceed 2021 turnout?
18
1kṀ3771
resolved Nov 22
Resolved
YES

As a percentage of active registered voters. In 2021, it was 23.40%.

The 2025 annual report will be used as the resolution source. If the answer is clear in advance of the report, and this question is consistently trading near 0% or 100%, I may resolve it before the report comes out. I'm not entirely certain I'll be able to get an appropriate count of active registered voters that matches the annual report methodology and timing, so if it's close we might need to wait for the report. Help figuring out how to replicate that methodology in advance of the report would be appreciated.

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

🏅 Top traders

#NameTotal profit
1Ṁ154
2Ṁ101
3Ṁ90
4Ṁ65
5Ṁ62
Sort by:

@EvanDaniel when does this resolve?

@Hakari I don't yet see official numbers on vote.nyc, which is where I'm expecting to find them. If I missed them or there is an alternate source, please let me know!

@Hakari It's enough higher that I'm just resolving it even though I don't have an exact count on active registered voters vs. other metrics. Wikipedia article has some sourcing for turnout %, it was huge -- ~39% vs. 23%, details won't matter.

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy