Will a Democrat win Ohio for President by 2050?
2
90Ṁ15
2050
60%
chance

Resolves YES if a Democrat wins Ohio in a presidential election before 2050 (in one of the 2024, 2028, 2032, 2036, 2040, 2044, or 2048 elections). Resolves NO if they lose all of them.

If another party displaces the Democrats and they win, I'll still resolve this as NO.

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