Now that the solar conjunction is past us and the Mars Perseverance rover is back on the move, will the rover exit the Jezero crater through the ancient Neretva Vallis riverbed by Sol 1111 [Apr4-2024]?

Market will be resolved by the rover position on Sol 1111

-- https://mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/mission/where-is-the-rover/

Exiting the crater will be defined as crossing this boundary on the interactive map:

Market will resolve YES if the rover is to the west of the red line on Sol 1111

Market will resolve NO if the rover is to the east of the red line on Sol 1111

Market will resolve YES if the rover is on the red line on Sol 1111

The red line can be extrapolated if the rover doesn't follow the middle of the path.

*Note: If the "Neretva Vallis" text is moved on the interactive map there are two dark and circular geographic features in the interactive map that serve as the landmarks for the "finish line". If needed, image analysis will be used to determine the exact longitude,latitude values of this line to determine if the rover has crossed or not.

This market makes the assumption that the Mars Perseverance rover will finish the "Margin Campaign" and continue with the "Beyond Jezero Campaign"
-- https://mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/mission/status/482/within-the-margin/

3D model (not my model, only used as a visual aid here):
https://www.etsy.com/listing/978024899/mars-3d-topography-model-of-jezero

*Please note: Scale is approximate in this model and may misrepresent the total distance the rover must cover. The main purpose of presenting the 3d model is to show through the river mouth is the least treacherous way out of the Jezero crater.

Other mission updates:

-- https://mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/mission/status/

Latest videos:

https://mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/multimedia/videos/

Geological map of the region:

-- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jezero_%28crater%29#/media/File:Sim3464_USGS_Jezero_Crater.png

Space.com article:

--https://www.space.com/perseverance-rover-moving-to-jurabi-point-mars

"After its trip to Jurabi Point, Perseverance will head west, climbing uphill in Jezero, observing how the margin rocks change as altitude increases. Then, the Margin Campaign will culminate with a visit to the ancient river channel Neretva Vallis, where the rover will examine the light-hued rocks in the channel wall. 

Raw images from the rover:

https://mars.nasa.gov/mars2020/multimedia/raw-images/