Will changes to South Korea's mandatory military service be announced by the end of 2024?
Plus
21
Ṁ2842Dec 31
6%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Currently, all men between the ages of 18-35 in Korea have to serve mandatory military service for 21-24 months.
Resolution Criteria
A clear plan of action has to be announced for this to count.
For example, an announcement of generic goals without an outlined plan of action won't count.
A change in pay will not count as a significant change. A minor change in medical exemption criteria will also not count as a significant change.
Some changes could include:
change in length
no longer mandatory
option opened to everyone to choose civil service instead of military service
women are forced to join
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000
and3.00
Related questions
Related questions
Will North Korean troops intentionally enter South Korea by the end of 2024?
7% chance
Will South Korea be under martial law on January 1st 2025?
2% chance
Will South Korea acquire nuclear weapons before 2031?
15% chance
Which countries in Europe will switch to compulsory military service (2027)?
North Korea x South Korea military clash in 2024?
3% chance
Which of the following East Asian nations will be involved in a new or escalated military conflict by the end of 2024?
Will there be a mandatory military draft in the USA by the end of 2024?
6% chance
Will any North Korean military action cause at least one South Korean military fatality in 2024?
12% chance
Will South Korea bring a sixth generation fighter into service by the end of 2040?
70% chance
Will North Korea announce a formal regime succession plan by the end of 2024?
7% chance