Will changes to South Korea's mandatory military service be announced by the end of 2024?
21
1kṀ2850Dec 31
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Currently, all men between the ages of 18-35 in Korea have to serve mandatory military service for 21-24 months.
Resolution Criteria
A clear plan of action has to be announced for this to count.
For example, an announcement of generic goals without an outlined plan of action won't count.
A change in pay will not count as a significant change. A minor change in medical exemption criteria will also not count as a significant change.
Some changes could include:
change in length
no longer mandatory
option opened to everyone to choose civil service instead of military service
women are forced to join
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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