Will Trump's first year of presidency be positive for AI safety?
6
100Ṁ110Dec 1
18%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
1,000Sort by:
Please write more concrete resolution criteria.
Related article: https://newsletter.safe.ai/p/ai-safety-newsletter-39-implications
Related questions
Related questions
Will Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
40% chance
Will Trump cancel the AI National Security Memorandum? (within first 100 days)
If Trump is elected, will the shutdown of the US AI Safety Institute be announced in 2025?
39% chance
Will Trump repeatedly raise concerns about existential risk from AI before the end of 2025?
15% chance
If Trump wins, will the US AI Safety Institute receive an increase in Congressional appropriations for FY26?
30% chance
If Trump wins, who will be the White House’s important AI policy officials in 2025?
Will AI get regulated after the US president election until the end of 2025?
60% chance
If Trump wins, will the US government enact legislation that significantly slows down AI progress?
24% chance
When will the first major U.S. presidential candidate make AI safety part of their platform?
2034
Will xAI receive preferential treatment* by the Trump administration in 2025?
59% chance