Will resolve YES if the Kurzgesagt channel publishes a video on AI alignment or explicitly AI and its risks (i.e. not on broad existential risk) before the deadline.
Kurzgesagt, oh Kurzgesagt,
Will you release a video,
On AI alignment, so we can get it?
Before August 1st, 2023, you bet!
They must have it on their radar, and if not so far, I'm sure gpt 4's release will affect that, but there's no chance they're done with it in 4 months.
@sacredSatan Do you have data on how long it usually takes them to make a video?
@LukeHanks yes, they made a video about it a while ago: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uFk0mgljtns
@sacredSatan Assuming the number they give for how long it takes them to make a video, they could have one starting now, and be out by May. That's also assuming the 1200 hour figure they use is the average time spent from start to finish on one video and not man hours.
Kurzgesagt seems to be pretty on the ball with popular trends so I think this is a pretty safe bet they will have one out before August.
@Raze from near the end of the video:
This journey has been so wild and so much fun, and we can't wait to share the stuff we're working on right now with you; in a year, or maybe two.
@LukeHanks Ok but that's also clearly a joke. I don't know if that's their actual timeline.
@Raze I don't think it's a joke. They mention that some scripts can take as much as a year or more to finish. I think this is a topic that requires a bit of time. Unless they get greedy and want to get in on the hype, which isn't like them, and I don't think the hype for AI is going away anytime soon.
gpt4-32k in the model window
@RaulCavalcante sorry commented in the wrong market
how does this resolves when it mentions risks from AI, but it puts very little focus on existential risk from AI?
@harfe, it resolves YES if:
It is a full video focused on the risks of AI (even non-existential, doubt this would be the case though with recent OpenPhil partnerships)
@EsbenKran I think you should rename the title of the question then. Maybe to "will Kurzgesagt release a video on AI and its risks before ...". This would resolve describe the market more accurately imo.
I take your comment that the AI video from Jon Oliver https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=Sqa8Zo2XWc4 would resolve the question positively (and its not really an alignment video).