Zuck departs Meta before Elon departs SpaceX
14
1kṀ1070
2026
26%
chance

Departs means no longer CEO or top leader. Death means they're not the leader. Company breakup means they're not CEO of it any longer. Renamed are irrelevant and don't change the company id. Merges as long as most of the prior company is incorporated don't count as losing CEOship. Gov't breakup only counts if the person is no longer CEO of either the part of the company whuch retains the name, or the largest part by employee count or revenue at point of breakup.

Announcements don't count they have to be really gone. Chairman of board isn't the same as CEO they have to be acting as the CEO in control.

Deadline will be extended as time goes on

Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!
Sort by:
bought Ṁ50 NO

SpaceX is private (nobody wants musk to leave), zuck has voting control and has done well for shareholders

Hard to know why either founder would leave short of death. Obviously musk has much on his plate, but that has not yet been an issue

© Manifold Markets, Inc.TermsPrivacy