Will the Kurds have a homeland recognized as a nation by the UN before 2029
9
23
170
2030
25%
chance

it should be a separate "country"

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Do autonomous regions of other countries count?

predicts NO

@TomBouley If it's equivalent to a normal nation by the UN, as specified in title. That's a pretty high bar.

@Ernie that is still ambiguous. AFAIK the UN does not recognize whether entities are nations or not; one could say that membership in the organization is a sufficient, but not necessary, criterion for that.

Like with the Khalistan question, perhaps a clearer criterion would be recognition by one of the five permanent members of the UNSC (although I personally am not a fan of that criterion because Russia abuses it for its own expansionist purposes).