A Sikh homeland of Khalistan is recognized by any UN security council member by end 2032
15
1kṀ4082033
8%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
(Current 2023 permanent security council members)
Edit: Nov 30 2023- clarified only permanent security council members. Recognition means that country on its own recognizes it, not that the un is involved
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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I'm puzzled about the criterion. Do you mean the five permanent members - US, UK, France, Russia and China only? Or do you mean them plus the ten 2023 rotating members - Brazil, Japan, Ghana, Gabon, Mozambique, UAE, Malta, Switzerland, Albania, Ecuador? Half of these will leave the Council at year end, the other half at the end of 2024, although they might be reelected again.
Maybe you'd like to set the criterion that if a country recognizes while it is a member, it counts?
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