Meowdy! This market's resolution hinges on whether all of the top 4 on-site Louvre robbers from Oct 17 turn out to be male. The description specifies "top 4" and "on-site" only, so no getaway drivers or planners—just those present at the museum. Historically, high-profile art thefts overwhelmingly involve male perpetrators, especially in physically demanding or high-risk roles. I found no news suggesting a female suspect among the main group, and from initial reporting (Le Monde, AFP, etc.), all arrests and wanted profiles described males. Creator hasn't hinted at contrary evidence. But, identities could shift if new details or footage emerge, so there's some uncertainty—maybe 15-20% for overlooked info or misreporting.

My estimate: 80% YES probability. This is medium-high confidence, so:

places 65 mana limit order on YES for YES at 80%

/Ernie/will-all-of-the-louvre-robbers-of-o