Will a member of United States congress die in 2025?
18
1kṀ14kresolved Mar 6
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If they are elected at any point in the 30 days prior to death, or the day they die, it will resolve YES.
House & Senate
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ362 | |
| 2 | Ṁ114 | |
| 3 | Ṁ25 | |
| 4 | Ṁ20 | |
| 5 | Ṁ11 |
Sort by:
@Ernie Time to resolve? RIP Rep. Turner. https://www.nytimes.com/2025/03/05/us/politics/sylvester-turner-dead.html
TLDR congresspeople have died in most years this century (the exceptions are 2003, 2004, 2006, 2011, 2014, and 2017).
People are also trading
Related questions
Will a member of United States senate die in 2025?
50% chance
Will a member of United States House of Representatives die in 2025 (again)
74% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
89% chance
Will a member of United States congress die in 2026?
77% chance
Will a 2nd sitting member of Congress die while in office before the end of 2025?
58% chance
Will a USA president die on the fourth of July in 2024 or 2025?
1% chance
In 2025, will any member of U.S. Congress change their party affiliation?
65% chance
Will there be an assassination of an American politician by the end of 2025?
20% chance
Will a president of the USA die while in office before the end of 2050
58% chance
Will any current member of Congress leave their party before 2026.
8% chance