USA amendment, nuke, big disaster, Kaiju, attack, or financial collapse during 2024
9
129
Ṁ191Ṁ190
2025
16%
chance
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Any of these things happen in the time interval from the title:
A constitutional amendment is passed and adopted
There is an emergency presidential succession. IE vp or someone else suddenly becomes president outside of the normal schedule
A nuclear weapon explodes in the USA of at least 50 kilotons
A disaster strikes killing at least 10k people. Diseases count, quakes, volcanos etc. Manmade and natural
An attack by a terrorist or nation or individual kills at least 3k people in the usa
$collapse means the inflation rate is greater than 100% annualized for at least a month
A Kaiju attacks US territory resulting in at least 100 deaths. Any new large philysical monster or creature counts if it's "alive" and self-controlled
Get Ṁ200 play money
Related questions
Will a new major war break out in 2024?
10% chance
Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
What major events will occur in connection with 2024 election?
Predictions about destruction due to Earthquakes in 2024
Will there be a new crisis before the 2024 election?
39% chance
USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse in 2025
25% chance
During the course of the 2024 presidential election process, will any significant world flipping event occur?
32% chance
Will there be a huge economic crisis that will impact the global economy in 2024?
25% chance
Any of these 30 LLM-generated disasters happens in the USA in 2024
36% chance
USA adds an amendment, emergency pres. succession, nuke, big disaster, attack, or financial collapse in 2024
17% chance